Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.127434 4.422961 4.745232 5.125876 5.567385 6.068786 6.689399
2025-05-25 3.644243 4.019326 4.452082 4.997742 5.682104 6.534309 7.716128
2025-06-01 3.333452 3.760036 4.274897 4.960823 5.883557 7.139810 9.107404
2025-06-08 3.102483 3.564939 4.144687 4.955438 6.119692 7.853194 10.963734
2025-06-15 2.936275 3.429929 4.070412 5.007955 6.444542 8.798914 13.780777
2025-06-22 2.733914 3.227664 3.882859 4.872059 6.459097 9.256360 16.076623
2025-06-29 2.539390 3.019428 3.666203 4.663802 6.317717 9.396745 17.847855
2025-07-06 2.403774 2.880106 3.532560 4.562947 6.336055 9.859118 21.181102
2025-07-13 2.367159 2.872285 3.583524 4.753193 6.904793 11.753030 34.495380
2025-07-20 2.303822 2.821554 3.565690 4.828168 7.278823 13.452715 60.123083
2025-07-27 2.291149 2.841115 3.653899 5.094108 8.120132 17.291131 577.667585
2025-08-03 2.259933 2.830632 3.693481 5.279628 8.857771 22.012516 NaN
2025-08-10 2.179940 2.751311 3.630425 5.294037 9.275442 26.930984 NaN
2025-08-17 2.064286 2.612193 3.460341 5.081856 9.046968 28.021127 NaN
2025-08-24 1.980564 2.517596 3.357677 4.992756 9.148192 32.240596 NaN
2025-08-31 1.912526 2.443359 3.283563 4.952490 9.390730 39.623153 NaN
2025-09-07 1.861400 2.392360 3.244728 4.980552 9.871915 55.924993 NaN
2025-09-14 1.786741 2.300657 3.129287 4.830030 9.713280 61.925687 NaN
2025-09-21 1.707511 2.198552 2.990223 4.614839 9.277625 58.988864 NaN
2025-09-28 1.650287 2.129034 2.904478 4.509142 9.209237 67.719287 NaN
2025-10-05 1.639137 2.131856 2.945537 4.690106 10.282217 232.980955 NaN
2025-10-12 1.612669 2.108572 2.938045 4.759616 10.990070 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 1.610870 2.125001 3.003760 5.015659 12.787027 NaN NaN